Polaris
Conservative
CAGR
32.3%
Worst drop
1.42%
Min capital
$25,000
SPY POLARIS
Paper trading. Real market prices · no real money · no broker orders. Trades go live on your own account only when a Sentinel reaches the Live stage.
Stage lifecycle
Backtested
2006-01-01 → 08-12-31
→
Paper Calibration
Active
2026-05-15 → now
→
Beta Live
Not yet
→
Production Live
Not yet
Performance is disclosed separately for each stage. Backtested results don't predict paper-calibration results; paper results don't predict live-trading results. Stage transitions require admin step-up + a permanent audit-log entry.
CAGR · annualized
70.2%
over 2006-05-08 to 2026-05-08 validation window
Win rate
98.7%
Max drawdown
−2.17%
Sharpe ratio
10.02
Paper calibration record · 63 trades · Updated daily ·
See full record →
0.64% / mo on average daily balance ·
min $2,500 · capital stays in your own brokerage account
Reserve your founders' position
Monthly fee
0.64% / mo
Account minimum
$2,500
Cycles per active day
up to 1
Underlying
SPY · lineage: POLARIS
Wealth creation over time
Capital base: $2,500
Compounded cumulative return per recorded trade. Slide the capital control to see what 63 trades would have grown to at your account size. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
SPY POLARIS · +17.75%
S&P 500 (buy-and-hold) · -0.52%
Starting
$100,000
Today
$—
Net gain
$—
Return
+17.75%
How it trades
SPY POLARIS runs a fixed-rule SPX 0DTE iron condor strategy, scaled to SPY for accounts in the $2,500–$25,000 range. The rule set is non-discretionary: open, manage, close, reassess. On an active session it executes a single iron condor, cycling one at a time — at any single moment the account holds at most one open position from this Sentinel. On days when filters aren't satisfied it stands down entirely.
Entry/exit timing, strike-selection criteria, sizing rules, and filter thresholds are trade secrets and not disclosed.
SPY POLARIS · today
$110 (+0.00%)
✓ Profitable day
Capital: $100,000,000 → $100,001,775 (+17.75% since start).
Daily record
17 of 17 trading day(s) profitable since cycling launch.
Per-trade detail (today)
Today: 3 trade(s) · 3 win(s) · 0 loss(es) · 100.0% per-trade win rate.
- WIN $35
- WIN $37
- WIN $38
Historical Risk Profile ▸ tap to expand
Model-derived · real-broker fill validation in progressThe figures above are 20-year historical backtest projections of the deployed strategy. First Alpaca paper fills on spy-eli (May 26) showed the broker's live mid was substantially lower than the model's expected credit per contract. Real fill capture begins 2026-05-27 — these numbers may differ materially from broker-confirmed live performance.
| Backtest window | 2006-05-08 to 2026-05-08 |
| Annualized return (CAGR) | 70.2% (model ideal — real-world expectations lower) |
| Max drawdown observed | 2.2% |
| Single worst day | Pending — full daily-granularity sweep in progress |
| Win rate | 98.7% per-trade backtest · ~85% expected live |
| Sharpe (backtest) | 10.02 |
Source: validated_stats.json (pre-sweep summary). Worst-day pending the full sweep.
Past performance does not guarantee future results. SPX 0DTE options trading carries substantial risk and is not suitable for all investors.
How this record is stored 4-LAYER TRV ▸ tap to expand
Every trade this Sentinel records is durably persisted at four independent layers — so the record you see above can be reconstructed from any one of them, even if any single layer is lost.
- Layer 1 · Live bot database — the bot writes each open and close to its own SQLite database on a Render persistent disk; survives container restarts and redeploys.
- Layer 2 · Platform canonical history — the public ledger you are reading (
data/spy_polaris_canonical_history.jsonin the open-source platform repo) — the public-tier projection, verifiable on GitHub. - Layer 3 · Internal full-tier archive — the same trades stored with every trade-secret field (volatility, signal score, strike levels, position size, reasoning) in the private
sovereign-trade-records-internalrepository — reconstructible audit trail for compliance review. - Layer 4 · Hash-verified snapshot archives — immutable point-in-time snapshots of the canonical record, written via
scripts/snapshot_paper_history.pywith SHA-256 hashes that detect any post-hoc edit. Each strategy-stage transition (paper → beta → production) freezes the prior stage permanently.
Code: snapshot_paper_history.py · data/*_canonical_history.json. Sovereign Trading Capital, Inc. operates the strategy logic; capital stays in your own brokerage account.
Get notified when SPY POLARIS activates
One email when this Sentinel reaches the end of its calibration window. No marketing, no newsletter — just this Sentinel.
Your email is stored only against SPY POLARIS; one-click unsubscribe in every email. Sovereign Trading Capital, Inc. does not sell or share contact data. Want notifications for multiple Sentinels? Use the /subscribe page →
Calibration record
Every closed trade for SPY POLARIS, most recent first. 63 trades recorded. Position structure, strikes, and decision triggers are trade secrets and not disclosed.
| Closed at | Stage | Outcome | P&L | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-08 | Paper | Win | +$38.48 | +$1,775.30 |
| 2026-06-08 | Paper | Win | +$36.52 | +$1,736.82 |
| 2026-06-08 | Paper | Win | +$34.84 | +$1,700.30 |
| 2026-06-05 | Paper | Win | +$38.83 | +$1,665.46 |
| 2026-06-05 | Paper | Win | +$27.22 | +$1,626.63 |
| 2026-06-05 | Paper | Win | +$23.15 | +$1,599.41 |
| 2026-06-05 | Paper | Win | +$21.59 | +$1,576.26 |
| 2026-06-04 | Paper | Win | +$19.98 | +$1,554.67 |
| 2026-06-04 | Paper | Win | +$23.78 | +$1,534.69 |
| 2026-06-04 | Paper | Win | +$24.30 | +$1,510.91 |
| 2026-06-04 | Paper | Win | +$27.05 | +$1,486.61 |
| 2026-06-03 | Paper | Win | +$27.06 | +$1,459.56 |
| 2026-06-03 | Paper | Win | +$27.04 | +$1,432.50 |
| 2026-06-03 | Paper | Win | +$22.41 | +$1,405.46 |
| 2026-06-03 | Paper | Win | +$23.64 | +$1,383.05 |
| 2026-06-02 | Paper | Win | +$22.38 | +$1,359.41 |
| 2026-06-02 | Paper | Win | +$23.12 | +$1,337.03 |
| 2026-06-02 | Paper | Win | +$23.14 | +$1,313.91 |
| 2026-06-02 | Paper | Win | +$23.46 | +$1,290.77 |
| 2026-06-01 | Paper | Win | +$23.45 | +$1,267.31 |
| 2026-05-29 | Paper | Win | +$19.23 | +$1,243.86 |
| 2026-05-29 | Paper | Win | +$19.49 | +$1,224.63 |
| 2026-05-29 | Paper | Win | +$20.99 | +$1,205.14 |
| 2026-05-29 | Paper | Win | +$21.12 | +$1,184.15 |
| 2026-05-28 | Paper | Win | +$21.33 | +$1,163.03 |
| 2026-05-28 | Paper | Win | +$25.22 | +$1,141.70 |
| 2026-05-28 | Paper | Win | +$22.04 | +$1,116.48 |
| 2026-05-28 | Paper | Win | +$23.71 | +$1,094.44 |
| 2026-05-27 | Paper | Win | +$25.40 | +$1,070.73 |
| 2026-05-27 | Paper | Win | +$30.22 | +$1,045.33 |
| 2026-05-27 | Paper | Win | +$29.64 | +$1,015.11 |
| 2026-05-27 | Paper | Win | +$26.33 | +$985.47 |
| 2026-05-26 | Paper | Win | +$30.73 | +$959.14 |
| 2026-05-26 | Paper | Win | +$30.59 | +$928.41 |
| 2026-05-26 | Paper | Win | +$26.44 | +$897.82 |
| 2026-05-26 | Paper | Win | +$25.55 | +$871.38 |
| 2026-05-25 | Paper | Win | +$24.29 | +$845.83 |
| 2026-05-25 | Paper | Win | +$24.78 | +$821.54 |
| 2026-05-25 | Paper | Win | +$24.54 | +$796.76 |
| 2026-05-22 | Paper | Win | +$24.07 | +$772.22 |
| 2026-05-22 | Paper | Win | +$24.55 | +$748.15 |
| 2026-05-22 | Paper | Win | +$24.61 | +$723.60 |
| 2026-05-22 | Paper | Win | +$25.08 | +$698.99 |
| 2026-05-21 | Paper | Win | +$26.26 | +$673.91 |
| 2026-05-21 | Paper | Win | +$30.36 | +$647.65 |
| 2026-05-21 | Paper | Win | +$32.02 | +$617.29 |
| 2026-05-21 | Paper | Win | +$32.68 | +$585.27 |
| 2026-05-20 | Paper | Win | +$32.83 | +$552.59 |
| 2026-05-20 | Paper | Win | +$28.86 | +$519.76 |
| 2026-05-20 | Paper | Win | +$32.81 | +$490.90 |
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