Calibrating Accelerated SPX

Eli

Maximum reach, exceptional stability — the family's highest validated annual return paired with one of its lowest validated drawdowns.

Paper trading. Real market prices · no real money · no broker orders. Trades go live on your own account only when a Sentinel reaches the Live stage.
Stage lifecycle
Backtested
2006-01-01 → 08-12-31
Paper Calibration Active
2026-05-07 → now
Beta Live
Not yet
Production Live
Not yet

Performance is disclosed separately for each stage. Backtested results don't predict paper-calibration results; paper results don't predict live-trading results. Stage transitions require admin step-up + a permanent audit-log entry.

CAGR · annualized
166.4%
over 2006-05-08 to 2026-05-08 validation window
Win rate
96.2%
Max drawdown
−3.77%
Sharpe ratio
4.29
Paper calibration record · 58 trades · Updated daily · See full record →
0.72% / mo on average daily balance · min $25,000 · capital stays in your own brokerage account
Reserve your founders' position
Monthly fee 0.72% / mo
Account minimum $25,000
Cycles per active day up to 10
Underlying SPX

Wealth creation over time

Capital base: $100,000

Compounded cumulative return per recorded trade. Slide the capital control to see what 58 trades would have grown to at your account size. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

+98.55% +73.91% +49.27% +24.64% +0.00% 2026-05-07 2026-05-20 2026-05-26 S&P +3.58% +98.55% $—
Eli · +98.55% S&P 500 (buy-and-hold) · +3.58%
Starting
$100,000
Today
$—
Net gain
$—
Return
+98.55%

Who it's for

Eli is the maximum-growth Sentinel — tuned for the highest validated annual return in the family (45.0%). What makes Eli unusual is that this maximum growth comes with a validated max drawdown of 1.79% and a 99.1% win rate — lower drawdown than most Sentinels in the family, not higher. It's for the customer who wants the family's full upside and doesn't want to trade that upside for volatility. Larger accounts amplify the dollar outcome; the strategy itself stays disciplined.

How it trades

Eli runs a fixed-rule SPX 0DTE iron condor strategy. The rule set is non-discretionary: open, manage, close, reassess. On an active session it executes up to 10 sequential positions, cycling one at a time — at any single moment the account holds at most one open position from this Sentinel. On days when filters aren't satisfied it stands down entirely.

Sample trade. {'setup': "An active session that supports the strategy's full cycle count.", 'entry': "Up to ten sequential entries through the day, each within Eli's defined risk envelope.", 'structure': 'SPX 0DTE iron condors — put spread below, call spread above, fixed-width wings — staged across the session, each leg fully defined-risk.', 'size_at_50k': 'On a hypothetical $50,000 account, Eli uses the most active per-day cycling in the family — the engine behind its 45.0% validated annual return.', 'max_risk': 'Every leg is defined-risk; the worst-case loss per cycle is bounded by the wing width and contract count, not unlimited. The validated max drawdown of 1.79% reflects this discipline.', 'outcome': "High cycle count combined with a high per-cycle win rate (99.1% over the 20-year validation window) compounds into the family's highest validated annual return."}

Entry/exit timing, strike-selection criteria, sizing rules, and filter thresholds are trade secrets and not disclosed.

ELI · today
$474 (+1.90%)
✓ Profitable day
Capital: $25,000 → $49,637 (+98.55% since start).
Daily record
10 of 10 trading day(s) profitable since cycling launch.
Per-trade detail (today)
Today: 2 trade(s) · 2 win(s) · 0 loss(es) · 100.0% per-trade win rate.
  • WIN $227
  • WIN $248
Historical Risk Profile ▸ tap to expand
Backtest window2006-05-08 to 2026-05-08
Annualized return (CAGR)166.4% (model ideal — real-world expectations lower)
Max drawdown observed3.8%
Single worst dayPending — full daily-granularity sweep in progress
Win rate96.2% per-trade backtest · ~85% expected live
Sharpe (backtest)4.29
Source: validated_stats.json (pre-sweep summary). Worst-day pending the full sweep.
Past performance does not guarantee future results. SPX 0DTE options trading carries substantial risk and is not suitable for all investors.
How this record is stored 4-LAYER TRV ▸ tap to expand
Every trade this Sentinel records is durably persisted at four independent layers — so the record you see above can be reconstructed from any one of them, even if any single layer is lost.
  1. Layer 1 · Live bot database — the bot writes each open and close to its own SQLite database on a Render persistent disk; survives container restarts and redeploys.
  2. Layer 2 · Platform canonical history — the public ledger you are reading (data/eli_canonical_history.json in the open-source platform repo) — the public-tier projection, verifiable on GitHub.
  3. Layer 3 · Internal full-tier archive — the same trades stored with every trade-secret field (volatility, signal score, strike levels, position size, reasoning) in the private sovereign-trade-records-internal repository — reconstructible audit trail for compliance review.
  4. Layer 4 · Hash-verified snapshot archives — immutable point-in-time snapshots of the canonical record, written via scripts/snapshot_paper_history.py with SHA-256 hashes that detect any post-hoc edit. Each strategy-stage transition (paper → beta → production) freezes the prior stage permanently.
Code: snapshot_paper_history.py · data/*_canonical_history.json. Sovereign Trading Capital, Inc. operates the strategy logic; capital stays in your own brokerage account.

Calibration record

Every closed trade for Eli, most recent first. 58 trades recorded. Position structure, strikes, and decision triggers are trade secrets and not disclosed.

Closed at Stage Outcome P&L Running total
2026-05-26 Paper Win +$247.76 +$24,636.53
2026-05-26 Paper Win +$226.68 +$24,388.77
2026-05-25 Paper Win +$230.72 +$24,162.09
2026-05-25 Paper Win +$231.16 +$23,931.37
2026-05-25 Paper Win +$470.29 +$23,700.21
2026-05-25 Paper Win +$464.97 +$23,229.92
2026-05-25 Paper Win +$465.86 +$22,764.95
2026-05-22 Paper Win +$464.26 +$22,299.09
2026-05-22 Paper Win +$460.84 +$21,834.83
2026-05-22 Paper Win +$459.94 +$21,373.99
2026-05-22 Paper Win +$464.59 +$20,914.05
2026-05-22 Paper Win +$466.69 +$20,449.46
2026-05-22 Paper Win +$469.95 +$19,982.77
2026-05-22 Paper Win +$470.07 +$19,512.82
2026-05-22 Paper Win +$481.13 +$19,042.75
2026-05-22 Paper Win +$487.19 +$18,561.62
2026-05-22 Paper Win +$476.11 +$18,074.43
2026-05-21 Paper Win +$495.32 +$17,598.32
2026-05-21 Paper Win +$475.54 +$17,103.00
2026-05-21 Paper Win +$536.43 +$16,627.46
2026-05-21 Paper Win +$537.25 +$16,091.03
2026-05-21 Paper Win +$539.01 +$15,553.78
2026-05-21 Paper Win +$539.85 +$15,014.77
2026-05-21 Paper Win +$533.03 +$14,474.92
2026-05-21 Paper Win +$579.66 +$13,941.89
2026-05-21 Paper Win +$523.13 +$13,362.23
2026-05-21 Paper Win +$289.28 +$12,839.10
2026-05-20 Paper Win +$565.98 +$12,549.82
2026-05-20 Paper Win +$545.54 +$11,983.84
2026-05-20 Paper Win +$552.74 +$11,438.30
2026-05-20 Paper Win +$587.79 +$10,885.56
2026-05-20 Paper Win +$543.39 +$10,297.77
2026-05-20 Paper Win +$577.94 +$9,754.38
2026-05-20 Paper Win +$552.95 +$9,176.44
2026-05-20 Paper Win +$541.68 +$8,623.49
2026-05-20 Paper Win +$583.52 +$8,081.81
2026-05-19 Paper Win +$296.48 +$7,498.29
2026-05-19 Paper Win +$287.93 +$7,201.81
2026-05-19 Paper Win +$297.33 +$6,913.88
2026-05-19 Paper Win +$311.77 +$6,616.55
2026-05-19 Paper Win +$305.14 +$6,304.78
2026-05-19 Paper Win +$294.67 +$5,999.64
2026-05-19 Paper Win +$283.23 +$5,704.97
2026-05-19 Paper Win +$293.48 +$5,421.74
2026-05-19 Paper Win +$296.72 +$5,128.26
2026-05-19 Paper Win +$301.33 +$4,831.54
2026-05-15 Paper Win +$305.18 +$4,530.21
2026-05-15 Paper Win +$291.18 +$4,225.03
2026-05-15 Paper Win +$327.51 +$3,933.85
2026-05-15 Paper Win +$306.10 +$3,606.34
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FAQ

How fast-compounding is this Sentinel?

The fastest in the family — 45.0% validated annual return is the highest of all eight SPX Sentinels.

What kind of drawdown can I expect?

Over the 20-year backtest window, Eli's maximum drawdown was 1.79% — one of the lowest in the family. The validated win rate is 99.1%. Both are backtest observations from the validation window, not contractual caps; live drawdowns can differ from backtested figures, and 0DTE options carry inherent intra-day risk.

Should this be my only Sentinel?

There's no rule against it, and Eli's combination of high return and low drawdown makes a single-Sentinel allocation more defensible here than with some of the other accelerated Sentinels. That said, most customers still prefer pairing Eli with a different character — Polaris or Kairos — for diversification across strategy logic.

What's different about this vs. Precision?

Both are in the accelerated tier. Eli's validated annual return is the family's highest (45.0%); Precision's is second (43.3%). Eli's validated max drawdown is lower (1.79% vs Precision's 2.35%). The structural difference is cycle density and sizing — Precision runs a more concentrated day, Eli runs more cycles per active session.

Related Sentinels

Eli · 0.72% / mo · min $25,000
Reserve your founders' position