Calibrating Flagship SPX

Oracle V1

The flagship — Sovereign's signature, dynamic sizing, our highest expression.

Paper trading. Real market prices · no real money · no broker orders. Trades go live on your own account only when a Sentinel reaches the Live stage.
Stage lifecycle
Backtested
2006-01-01 → 08-12-31
Paper Calibration Active
2026-04-20 → now
Beta Live
Not yet
Production Live
Not yet

Performance is disclosed separately for each stage. Backtested results don't predict paper-calibration results; paper results don't predict live-trading results. Stage transitions require admin step-up + a permanent audit-log entry.

CAGR · annualized
63.3%
over 2006-05-08 to 2026-05-08 validation window
Win rate
94.2%
Max drawdown
−4.42%
Sharpe ratio
3.89
Paper calibration record · 36 trades · Updated daily · See full record →
0.49% / mo on average daily balance · min $25,000 · capital stays in your own brokerage account
Reserve your founders' position
Monthly fee 0.49% / mo
Account minimum $25,000
Cycles per active day up to 1
Underlying SPX

Wealth creation over time

Capital base: $100,000

Compounded cumulative return per recorded trade. Slide the capital control to see what 36 trades would have grown to at your account size. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

+33.58% +25.02% +16.47% +7.92% -0.63% 2026-04-20 2026-05-14 2026-06-08 S&P +4.17% +33.58% $—
Oracle V1 · +33.58% S&P 500 (buy-and-hold) · +4.17%
Starting
$100,000
Today
$—
Net gain
$—
Return
+33.58%

Who it's for

Oracle V1 is the flagship — the Sentinel that carries the Sovereign name directly. It runs one carefully chosen trade a day with dynamic sizing, and it is the most distinctive profile in the family: a higher published drawdown than the others, paired with the signature flagship behaviour. It's for the founder who wants the headline strategy and understands its character is its own — not a dial-turn on one of the others.

How it trades

Oracle V1 runs a fixed-rule SPX 0DTE iron condor strategy. The rule set is non-discretionary: open, manage, close, reassess. On an active session it executes a single iron condor, cycling one at a time — at any single moment the account holds at most one open position from this Sentinel. On days when filters aren't satisfied it stands down entirely.

Sample trade. {'setup': 'A session the flagship judged worth participating in.', 'entry': "Once, after the flagship's read of the day was complete.", 'structure': 'A single SPX 0DTE iron condor — put spread below, call spread above, fixed-width wings — with the size set dynamically for the day and the account rather than to a fixed contract count.', 'size_at_50k': 'On a hypothetical $50,000 account, a contract count chosen dynamically — it varies by day rather than being a constant.', 'max_risk': "Defined and capped per trade: spread width minus credit, times that day's contract count. Because Oracle V1's drawdown profile is the highest in the family, a bad day here is more pronounced than with the conservative Sentinels.", 'outcome': "On a representative day the condor expired worthless and the credit was kept; Oracle V1's higher published drawdown reflects that its worse days are deeper than the rest of the family's. That's the flagship's known trade-off."}

Entry/exit timing, strike-selection criteria, sizing rules, and filter thresholds are trade secrets and not disclosed.

ORACLE V1 · today
$2,339,258 (+2.34%)
✓ Profitable day
Capital: $100,000,000 → $131,562,296 (+33.58% since start).
Daily record
35 of 36 trading day(s) profitable since cycling launch. Rolling 30-day profitability: 96.7%.
Per-trade detail (today)
Today: 1 trade(s) · 1 win(s) · 0 loss(es) · 100.0% per-trade win rate.
  • WIN $2,339,258
Historical Risk Profile ▸ tap to expand
Backtest window2006-05-08 to 2026-05-08
Annualized return (CAGR)63.3% (model ideal — real-world expectations lower)
Max drawdown observed4.4%
Single worst dayPending — full daily-granularity sweep in progress
Win rate94.2% per-trade backtest · ~85% expected live
Sharpe (backtest)3.89
Source: validated_stats.json (pre-sweep summary). Worst-day pending the full sweep.
Past performance does not guarantee future results. SPX 0DTE options trading carries substantial risk and is not suitable for all investors.
How this record is stored 4-LAYER TRV ▸ tap to expand
Every trade this Sentinel records is durably persisted at four independent layers — so the record you see above can be reconstructed from any one of them, even if any single layer is lost.
  1. Layer 1 · Live bot database — the bot writes each open and close to its own SQLite database on a Render persistent disk; survives container restarts and redeploys.
  2. Layer 2 · Platform canonical history — the public ledger you are reading (data/oracle_v1_canonical_history.json in the open-source platform repo) — the public-tier projection, verifiable on GitHub.
  3. Layer 3 · Internal full-tier archive — the same trades stored with every trade-secret field (volatility, signal score, strike levels, position size, reasoning) in the private sovereign-trade-records-internal repository — reconstructible audit trail for compliance review.
  4. Layer 4 · Hash-verified snapshot archives — immutable point-in-time snapshots of the canonical record, written via scripts/snapshot_paper_history.py with SHA-256 hashes that detect any post-hoc edit. Each strategy-stage transition (paper → beta → production) freezes the prior stage permanently.
Code: snapshot_paper_history.py · data/*_canonical_history.json. Sovereign Trading Capital, Inc. operates the strategy logic; capital stays in your own brokerage account.

Calibration record

Every closed trade for Oracle V1, most recent first. 36 trades recorded. Position structure, strikes, and decision triggers are trade secrets and not disclosed.

Closed at Stage Outcome P&L Running total
2026-06-08 Paper Win +$2,339,258.38 +$31,562,295.95
2026-06-05 Paper Loss −$1,244,848.89 +$29,223,037.57
2026-06-04 Paper Win +$2,012,369.67 +$30,467,886.46
2026-06-03 Paper Win +$1,104,768.67 +$28,455,516.79
2026-06-02 Paper Win +$1,944,753.38 +$27,350,748.12
2026-06-01 Paper Win +$1,070,072.11 +$25,405,994.74
2026-05-29 Paper Win +$2,033,057.75 +$24,335,922.63
2026-05-28 Paper Win +$1,130,322.27 +$22,302,864.88
2026-05-27 Paper Win +$2,470,420.23 +$21,172,542.61
2026-05-26 Paper Win +$2,340,046.77 +$18,702,122.38
2026-05-25 Paper Win +$2,204,268.69 +$16,362,075.61
2026-05-22 Paper Win +$3,284,900.40 +$14,157,806.92
2026-05-21 Paper Win +$1,343,839.59 +$10,872,906.52
2026-05-20 Paper Win +$2,451,569.29 +$9,529,066.93
2026-05-19 Paper Win +$1,332,018.30 +$7,077,497.64
2026-05-18 Paper Win +$1,046,320.87 +$5,745,479.34
2026-05-15 Paper Win +$345.93 +$4,699,158.47
2026-05-14 Paper Win +$289.17 +$4,698,812.54
2026-05-13 Paper Win +$303.11 +$4,698,523.37
2026-05-12 Paper Win +$610,630.93 +$4,698,220.26
2026-05-11 Paper Win +$599,729.62 +$4,087,589.33
2026-05-08 Paper Win +$578,684.17 +$3,487,859.71
2026-05-07 Paper Win +$595,859.48 +$2,909,175.54
2026-05-06 Paper Win +$607,347.16 +$2,313,316.06
2026-05-05 Paper Win +$4,713.23 +$1,705,968.90
2026-05-04 Paper Win +$548,846.06 +$1,701,255.67
2026-05-01 Paper Win +$576,804.36 +$1,152,409.61
2026-04-30 Paper Win +$573,589.33 +$575,605.25
2026-04-29 Paper Win +$247.67 +$2,015.92
2026-04-28 Paper Win +$254.01 +$1,768.25
2026-04-27 Paper Win +$259.57 +$1,514.24
2026-04-24 Paper Win +$249.75 +$1,254.67
2026-04-23 Paper Win +$252.90 +$1,004.92
2026-04-22 Paper Win +$252.03 +$752.02
2026-04-21 Paper Win +$254.47 +$499.99
2026-04-20 Paper Win +$245.52 +$245.52

FAQ

How fast-compounding is this Sentinel?

Oracle V1 is its own profile rather than a point on the conservative-to-accelerated line. It runs with dynamic sizing, and it carries the highest published drawdown in the family — read it as distinctive, not simply 'more accelerated'.

What kind of drawdown can I expect?

Higher than the rest of the family — the validated maximum drawdown shown on this page is the largest of any Sentinel. It's a backtest figure, not a ceiling; live drawdowns can exceed it, and 0DTE options carry real loss risk. Choose Oracle V1 with that profile clearly in mind.

Can I run Oracle V1 alongside other Sentinels?

Yes. Some founders run the flagship as the centrepiece and pair it with a conservative anchor to smooth the overall profile. Each Sentinel bills separately on its assigned capital.

Why is the fee the highest in the family?

Oracle V1 carries the top monthly rate (shown on this page from our single source of truth) because it's the flagship strategy. The rate is what it is regardless of account size, and for founders it's locked for at least 12 months from activation.

Related Sentinels

Oracle V1 · 0.49% / mo · min $25,000
Reserve your founders' position