Calibrating Accelerated SPX

Precision

The accelerated — higher conviction, larger sizing, for the sophisticated trader.

Paper trading. Real market prices · no real money · no broker orders. Trades go live on your own account only when a Sentinel reaches the Live stage.
Stage lifecycle
Backtested
2006-01-01 → 08-12-31
Paper Calibration Active
2026-05-05 → now
Beta Live
Not yet
Production Live
Not yet

Performance is disclosed separately for each stage. Backtested results don't predict paper-calibration results; paper results don't predict live-trading results. Stage transitions require admin step-up + a permanent audit-log entry.

CAGR · annualized
51.1%
over 2006-05-08 to 2026-05-08 validation window
Win rate
91.8%
Max drawdown
−4.46%
Sharpe ratio
4.32
Paper calibration record · 73 trades · Updated daily · See full record →
0.70% / mo on average daily balance · min $25,000 · capital stays in your own brokerage account
Reserve your founders' position
Monthly fee 0.70% / mo
Account minimum $25,000
Cycles per active day up to 8
Underlying SPX

Wealth creation over time

Capital base: $100,000

Compounded cumulative return per recorded trade. Slide the capital control to see what 73 trades would have grown to at your account size. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

+262.58% +196.93% +131.29% +65.64% +0.00% 2026-05-05 2026-05-26 2026-06-08 S&P +2.85% +262.58% $—
Precision · +262.58% S&P 500 (buy-and-hold) · +2.85%
Starting
$100,000
Today
$—
Net gain
$—
Return
+262.58%

Who it's for

Precision is for the sophisticated founder who understands options risk and wants the strategy to push: larger position sizes, more trades on a day that warrants them, higher conviction. This is not a starter Sentinel. It belongs in a portfolio where you've already got a steady base and you're adding a deliberately more accelerated sleeve.

How it trades

Precision runs a fixed-rule SPX 0DTE iron condor strategy. The rule set is non-discretionary: open, manage, close, reassess. On an active session it executes up to 8 sequential positions, cycling one at a time — at any single moment the account holds at most one open position from this Sentinel. On days when filters aren't satisfied it stands down entirely.

Sample trade. {'setup': 'A session with enough movement to justify leaning in.', 'entry': 'Several entries through the day, each sized for conviction.', 'structure': 'SPX 0DTE iron condors — put spread below, call spread above, fixed-width wings — placed more assertively than the conservative Sentinels would, though still fully defined-risk.', 'size_at_50k': 'On a hypothetical $50,000 account, a larger contract count per trade than the anchor strategies use — Precision deliberately uses more of the available buying power.', 'max_risk': "Still bounded — spread width minus credit, times contracts — but the larger size means the defined worst case is bigger in dollar terms. That's the trade-off you're choosing.", 'outcome': 'On a representative day, several spreads expired worthless and the kept credit was the gain; on a worse day, an in-the-money spread takes a larger bite than it would with a conservative Sentinel. Higher conviction cuts both ways.'}

Entry/exit timing, strike-selection criteria, sizing rules, and filter thresholds are trade secrets and not disclosed.

PRECISION · today
$27,182,977 (+27.18%)
✓ Profitable day
Capital: $100,000,000 → $362,577,548 (+262.58% since start).
Daily record
21 of 21 trading day(s) profitable since cycling launch.
Per-trade detail (today)
Today: 3 trade(s) · 3 win(s) · 0 loss(es) · 100.0% per-trade win rate.
  • WIN $8,878,772
  • WIN $8,513,541
  • WIN $9,790,664
Historical Risk Profile ▸ tap to expand
Backtest window2016–2026 (10yr backtest, per_bot_sweep_harness, N=2, basis: composite-best)
Annualized return (CAGR)56.1% (model ideal — real-world expectations lower)
Max drawdown observed2.6%
Single worst day-27.6% (one occurrence in ~10 years, during a major volatility event)
Win rate99.0% per-trade backtest · ~85% expected live
Sharpe (backtest)11.72
Source: per_bot_sweep_harness 10yr output. Real-world performance will likely produce lower returns and worse drawdown than backtest figures.
Past performance does not guarantee future results. SPX 0DTE options trading carries substantial risk and is not suitable for all investors.
How this record is stored 4-LAYER TRV ▸ tap to expand
Every trade this Sentinel records is durably persisted at four independent layers — so the record you see above can be reconstructed from any one of them, even if any single layer is lost.
  1. Layer 1 · Live bot database — the bot writes each open and close to its own SQLite database on a Render persistent disk; survives container restarts and redeploys.
  2. Layer 2 · Platform canonical history — the public ledger you are reading (data/precision_canonical_history.json in the open-source platform repo) — the public-tier projection, verifiable on GitHub.
  3. Layer 3 · Internal full-tier archive — the same trades stored with every trade-secret field (volatility, signal score, strike levels, position size, reasoning) in the private sovereign-trade-records-internal repository — reconstructible audit trail for compliance review.
  4. Layer 4 · Hash-verified snapshot archives — immutable point-in-time snapshots of the canonical record, written via scripts/snapshot_paper_history.py with SHA-256 hashes that detect any post-hoc edit. Each strategy-stage transition (paper → beta → production) freezes the prior stage permanently.
Code: snapshot_paper_history.py · data/*_canonical_history.json. Sovereign Trading Capital, Inc. operates the strategy logic; capital stays in your own brokerage account.

Calibration record

Every closed trade for Precision, most recent first. 73 trades recorded. Position structure, strikes, and decision triggers are trade secrets and not disclosed.

Closed at Stage Outcome P&L Running total
2026-06-08 Paper Win +$9,790,664.20 +$262,577,547.54
2026-06-08 Paper Win +$8,513,541.32 +$252,786,883.34
2026-06-08 Paper Win +$8,878,771.57 +$244,273,342.02
2026-06-05 Paper Win +$8,653,671.41 +$235,394,570.45
2026-06-05 Paper Win +$6,512,386.47 +$226,740,899.04
2026-06-05 Paper Win +$5,412,112.58 +$220,228,512.57
2026-06-05 Paper Win +$4,954,382.64 +$214,816,399.99
2026-06-04 Paper Win +$4,485,832.12 +$209,862,017.35
2026-06-04 Paper Win +$4,608,168.96 +$205,376,185.23
2026-06-04 Paper Win +$4,643,685.69 +$200,768,016.27
2026-06-04 Paper Win +$5,110,578.87 +$196,124,330.58
2026-06-03 Paper Win +$5,031,366.90 +$191,013,751.71
2026-06-03 Paper Win +$4,933,886.35 +$185,982,384.81
2026-06-03 Paper Win +$4,594,197.17 +$181,048,498.46
2026-06-03 Paper Win +$4,428,542.22 +$176,454,301.29
2026-06-02 Paper Win +$4,123,819.53 +$172,025,759.07
2026-06-02 Paper Win +$4,172,700.95 +$167,901,939.54
2026-06-02 Paper Win +$4,143,429.38 +$163,729,238.59
2026-06-02 Paper Win +$4,432,938.22 +$159,585,809.21
2026-06-01 Paper Win +$3,863,994.44 +$155,152,870.99
2026-06-01 Paper Win +$3,798,449.20 +$151,288,876.55
2026-06-01 Paper Win +$4,117,154.41 +$147,490,427.35
2026-06-01 Paper Win +$3,868,509.04 +$143,373,272.94
2026-05-29 Paper Win +$2,369,019.62 +$139,504,763.90
2026-05-29 Paper Win +$2,387,576.97 +$137,135,744.28
2026-05-29 Paper Win +$2,563,611.43 +$134,748,167.31
2026-05-29 Paper Win +$2,744,235.84 +$132,184,555.88
2026-05-28 Paper Win +$3,039,510.93 +$129,440,320.04
2026-05-28 Paper Win +$3,328,807.64 +$126,400,809.11
2026-05-28 Paper Win +$3,044,971.59 +$123,072,001.47
2026-05-28 Paper Win +$4,056,923.29 +$120,027,029.88
2026-05-27 Paper Win +$3,972,663.91 +$115,970,106.59
2026-05-27 Paper Win +$4,096,579.42 +$111,997,442.68
2026-05-27 Paper Win +$3,930,530.31 +$107,900,863.26
2026-05-27 Paper Win +$3,888,690.17 +$103,970,332.95
2026-05-26 Paper Win +$3,933,926.18 +$100,081,642.78
2026-05-26 Paper Win +$3,832,243.24 +$96,147,716.60
2026-05-26 Paper Win +$3,670,983.07 +$92,315,473.36
2026-05-26 Paper Win +$3,462,178.58 +$88,644,490.29
2026-05-25 Paper Win +$2,497,731.43 +$85,182,311.71
2026-05-25 Paper Win +$2,462,662.60 +$82,684,580.28
2026-05-25 Paper Win +$2,453,446.09 +$80,221,917.68
2026-05-22 Paper Win +$2,376,242.63 +$77,768,471.59
2026-05-22 Paper Win +$2,389,445.13 +$75,392,228.96
2026-05-22 Paper Win +$2,530,358.57 +$73,002,783.83
2026-05-22 Paper Win +$2,370,561.13 +$70,472,425.26
2026-05-21 Paper Win +$3,165,090.91 +$68,101,864.13
2026-05-21 Paper Win +$3,393,894.89 +$64,936,773.22
2026-05-21 Paper Win +$3,506,951.39 +$61,542,878.33
2026-05-21 Paper Win +$3,507,646.02 +$58,035,926.94
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FAQ

How fast-compounding is this Sentinel?

Accelerated — near the top of the family. Larger sizing, more trades, higher conviction. It's intended for experienced options traders, not first-timers.

What kind of drawdown can I expect?

The validated maximum drawdown shown here is among the higher figures in the family — and because positions are larger, a bad day costs more in dollars. It's a backtest observation, not a cap; live drawdowns can exceed it.

Can I run Precision with a conservative Sentinel?

That's the recommended way to use it — a steady anchor (Polaris, Genesis V1) as the base and Precision as the accelerated sleeve. Each is billed separately on its assigned capital.

What's different about this vs. Eli?

Both are in the accelerated tier. Precision's validated profile is concentrated cycling for conviction; Eli runs more cycles per active day with the family's highest validated annual return (45%) and one of its lowest validated drawdowns (1.79%). The structural difference is cycle density and sizing, not risk character — both are defined-risk on every leg.

Related Sentinels

Precision · 0.70% / mo · min $25,000
Reserve your founders' position